Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002283 0.002418 0.002562 0.002728 0.002912 0.003114 0.003353
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002055 0.002238 0.002443 0.002691 0.002987 0.003336 0.003784
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001922 0.002139 0.002391 0.002711 0.003116 0.003623 0.004333
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001807 0.002044 0.002328 0.002701 0.003196 0.003854 0.004847
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001701 0.001947 0.002249 0.002659 0.003222 0.004008 0.005279
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001654 0.001918 0.002251 0.002716 0.003384 0.004372 0.006113
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001606 0.001882 0.002238 0.002750 0.003512 0.004704 0.006994
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001537 0.001815 0.002177 0.002709 0.003524 0.004848 0.007572
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001464 0.001737 0.002097 0.002633 0.003469 0.004870 0.007905
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001421 0.001697 0.002066 0.002625 0.003522 0.005085 0.008743
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001339 0.001602 0.001953 0.002487 0.003347 0.004859 0.008451
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001310 0.001576 0.001936 0.002492 0.003411 0.005091 0.009413
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001286 0.001558 0.001931 0.002519 0.003519 0.005441 0.010942
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001250 0.001522 0.001898 0.002499 0.003544 0.005629 0.012135
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001229 0.001505 0.001892 0.002522 0.003649 0.006015 0.014406
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001202 0.001478 0.001870 0.002516 0.003698 0.006285 0.016577
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001168 0.001441 0.001830 0.002479 0.003685 0.006400 0.018205
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001159 0.001439 0.001843 0.002530 0.003849 0.007019 0.024129
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001145 0.001429 0.001844 0.002560 0.003975 0.007580 0.032183
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001116 0.001397 0.001808 0.002524 0.003959 0.007720 0.037074
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001082 0.001355 0.001756 0.002457 0.003867 0.007603 0.038382
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001063 0.001336 0.001739 0.002450 0.003909 0.007930 0.049370
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001019 0.001278 0.001659 0.002327 0.003682 0.007324 0.039798